ECONOMIC GROWTH, LABOR INFORMALITY, EDUCATION, AND INCOME INEQUALITY: EVIDENCE FROM DYNAMIC PANEL DATA ACROSS INDONESIAN PROVINCES
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20553819Keywords:
income inequality, Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), Provincial Minimum Wage (PMW), Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR), percentage of informal workers, Mean Years of Schooling (MYS), dynamic panel dataAbstract
This study investigates the main determinants of income inequality across Indonesian provinces by employing dynamic panel data from 34 provinces over the 2015-2023 period. The study is motivated by the persistent disparity in regional income distribution despite continuous economic growth in Indonesia. Income inequality is proxied by the Gini ratio, while the explanatory variables consist of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), Provincial Minimum Wage (PMW), Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR), percentage of informal workers, and Mean Years of Schooling (MYS). Considering the dynamic nature of inequality and the possibility of endogeneity among variables, the analysis applies a dynamic panel regression approach estimated using the System Generalized Method of Moments (System GMM). The empirical results indicate that lagged income inequality, GRDP, and the percentage of informal workers positively and significantly influence income inequality, implying that regional growth and labor market conditions remain uneven and less inclusive. Conversely, Mean Years of Schooling exerts a negative and significant effect, highlighting the important role of education in reducing inequality. Meanwhile, PMW and LFPR are found to have no significant impact on income inequality in Indonesia.
Downloads
References
Abdulah, R. (2013). FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMENGARUHI KETIMPANGAN PENDAPATAN DI JAWA TENGAH. Journal of Economics and Policy, 6(1), 42–53. https://doi.org/10.15294/jejak.v6i1.3747
ADB. (2019). Asian Development Outlook 2019: Strengthening Disaster Resilience. Asian Development Bank. https://www.adb.org/publications/asian-development-outlook-2019-strengthening-disaster-resilience
Alisha, W. P., & Yulhendri, Y. (2021). Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi terhadap Tingkat Kemiskinan di Kabupaten/ Kota Sumatera Barat. Jurnal Ecogen, 4(4), 581. https://doi.org/10.24036/jmpe.v4i4.12455
Amali, F. N., & Syafri. (2023). ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI KETIMPANGAN 33 PROVINSI DI INDONESIA. Jurnal Ekonomi Trisakti, 3(1), 815–820. https://doi.org/10.25105/jet.v3i1.15424
Amaliyah, S., & Arif, M. (2023). Analisis Determinan Disparitas Distribusi Pendapatan di Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan Tahun 2017-2021. Primanomics : Jurnal Ekonomi & Bisnis, 21(2), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.31253/pe.v21i2.1811
Ananda, C. F., & Pulungan, A. M. (2019). Determinants of Income Inequality in Indonesia: Case Study of 33 Provinces in 2011-2016. Journal of Applied Business and Economics, 2(6), 99–2017. https://doi.org/10.33423/jabe.v21i6.2407
Aufa, O., & Ali, A. (2020). Analisis Determinan Ketimpangan Pendapatan di Indonesia. Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan, 2(2), 19. https://doi.org/10.24036/jkep.v2i2.12637
Bappenas. (2020). Rencana pembangunan jangka menengah nasional 2020-2024.
Barro, R. J., & Sala-i-Martin, X. (1992). Convergence. Journal of Political Economy, 100(2), 223–251. https://doi.org/10.1086/261816
Bastian Lubis, D., Hidayat Pasaribu, S., & Findi, M. (2019). The Effect of Provincial Minimum Wage on Wage Inequality in Java. International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering and Technology, 6(1), 352–357. https://doi.org/10.32628/ijsrset196167
Belman, D., & Wolfson, P. J. (2014). What does the minimum wage do? Kalamazoo, MI: W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research. https://doi.org/10.17848/9780880994583
BPS. (2022). Indikator Kesejahteraan Rakyat Indonesia. Badan Pusat Statistik. https://www.bps.go.id
Carrasco, C. A., & Duran-Bustamante, M. (2022). The War on Drugs, Military Interventions and Economic Activity in Mexican States from 2004 to 2015. Cuadernos de Economia, 45(127), 70–81. https://doi.org/10.32826/cude.v1i124.500
Chen, M. A., Vanek, J., & Carr, M. (2004). Mainstreaming informal employment and gender in poverty reduction. London: Commonwealth Secretariat.
Deyshappriya, N. P. R. (2017). Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Income Inequality and Income Distribution in Asian Countries. Asian Development Bank Institute, 696, 1–16. https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/234271/adbi-wp696.pdf
Dias, W., & Indrawati, L. R. (2021). Analisis Determinan Ketimpangan Pendapatan Di Provinsi Jawa Barat Tahun 2015-2020. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 10(2), 95–104. https://doi.org/10.23960/jep.v10i2.268
Duarsa, Fabella Aprilia Riko, S. W. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Pengeluaran Perkapita, RLS, AHH, dan Jumlah Penduduk terhadap Ketimpangan Distribusi Pendapatan. Equilibria Pendidikan, 8(2), 118–124. https://doi.org/10.26877/ep.v8i2
Ghifara, A. S., Iman, A. N., Wardhana, A. K., Rusgianto, S., & Ratnasari, R. T. (2022). The Effect of Economic Growth, Government Spending, and Human Development Index toward Inequality of Income Distribution in the Metropolitan Cities in Indonesia. Daengku: Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences Innovation, 2(4), 529–536. https://doi.org/10.35877/454ri.daengku1092
Gennaioli, N., La Porta, R., Lopez-de-Silanes, F., & Shleifer, A. (2014). Growth in regions. Journal of Economic Growth, 19(3), 259–309. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-014-9105-9
Gulaliyev, M., Veliyeva, S., Sultanova, N., Mehdiyeva, I., & Gulaliyev, E. (2023). Impact of Minimum Wage Policy on Income Inequality: Azerbaijan Case. WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, 20, 2121–2137. https://doi.org/10.37394/23207.2023.20.185
Guo, Z. (2024). The Impact of Minimum Wage Policies on Income Inequality: Evidence from China. International Journal of Global Economics and Management, 2(2), 173–180. https://doi.org/10.62051/ijgem.v2n2.24
Hanushek, E. A., & Woessmann, L. (2012). The economic benefit of educational reform in the European Union. CESifo Economic Studies, 58(1), 73–109.
ILO. (2021). World Employment and Social Outlook: Trends 2021. International Labour Organization. https://www.ilo.org
IMF. (2020). Informality and Inclusive Growth in Emerging Market and Developing Economies. International Monetary Fund. https://www.imf.org
Istanti, E., Kusumo Negoro, B., & Daengs, A. (2021). Analysis Of Factors Affecting Income Distribution Inequality In Indonesia 2009-2013. https://doi.org/10.29138/ijebd.v4i2
Istikharoh, I., Juliprijanto, W., & Destiningsih, R. (2020). Analisis Pengaruh Tingkat Pendidikan, Upah Minimum Dan Tingkat Pengangguran Terhadap Ketimpangan Pendapatan Di Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta Tahun 2008 -2018. DINAMIC : Directory Journal of Economic, 2(1), 109–125. http://jom.untidar.ac.id/index.php/dinamic/article/view/1399
Jaumotte, F., & Osorio, C. (2015). Inequality and Labor Market Institutions. Staff Discussion Notes, 15(14), 1. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513577258.006
Kanbur, R., & Venables, A. J. (2005). Spatial inequality and development. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Keuangan, K. (2023). Pandemi Covid-19 Dan Menurunnya Perekonomian Indonesia. Artikel DJKN. https://www.djkn.kemenkeu.go.id/artikel/baca/16064/Pandemi-Covid-19-Dan-Menurunnya-Perekonomian-Indonesia.html
Kum, H. (2024). The Relationship between Informal Economy and Income Inequality: An Econometric Analysis for BRICS Countries. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 14(1), 117–125. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.15664
Kumar, M., & Pandey, S. (2021). Wage Gap Between Formal and Informal Regular Workers in India: Evidence from the National Sample Survey. Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, 13(1), 104–121. https://doi.org/10.1177/0974910121989458
Kusnandar, M. R., & Zulfikar, A. A. (2021). Minimum wage policy and inequality in Indonesia: Empirical evidence from provincial panel data. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia, 21(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.21002/jepi.v21i1.1401
Litwin, B. S. (2015). Determining the Effect of the Minimum Wage on Income Inequality. The Cupola Scholarship at Gettysburg Collage, 1–24.
Lukiyanova, A. (2015). Earnings inequality and informal employment in Russia. Economics of Transition, 23(2), 469–516. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecot.12069
Milanovic, B. (2016). Global inequality: A new approach for the age of globalization. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Neumark, D. (2007). Minimum wages and employment. Foundations and Trends in Microeconomics, 3(1–2), 1–182. https://doi.org/10.1561/0700000015
Nuraini, E. (2017). Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Dan Tingkat Pendidikan Terhadap Disparitas Pendapatan Di Wilayah Gerbangkertosusila. Jurnal Ekonomi Pendidikan Dan Kewirausahaan, 5(1), 52. https://doi.org/10.26740/jepk.v5n1.p52-67
OECD. (2021). Income Inequality Update 2021. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. https://www.oecd.org
Palma, J. G. (2011). Homogeneous middles vs. heterogeneous tails, and the end of the “Inverted-U”: It's all about the share of the rich. Development and Change, 42(1), 87–153. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7660.2011.01694.x
Psacharopoulos, G., & Patrinos, H. A. (2018). Returns to investment in education: A further update. Education Economics, 26(5), 445–458. https://doi.org/10.1080/09645292.2018.1484426
Rahmawati, N., & Priyono, P. (2023). Labor force participation and income inequality in Indonesia: A provincial panel data study. Indonesian Journal of Development Economics, 5(1), 42–57. https://doi.org/10.15294/ijde.v5i1.33810
Rodríguez-Pose, A., & Tselios, V. (2019). Toward inclusive growth: Is There Regional Convergence in Social Welfare? Is There Regional Convergence in Social Welfare? International Regional Science Review, 38(1), 30-60. https://doi.org/10.1177/0160017613505201
Sabir, S., Asghar, N., Rasul, F., & Kashmir, J. (2021). Financial Development, Human Capital Development and Income Inequality: Evidence from Developing Countries. In Journal of Statistics, Computing and Interdisciplinary Research ISSN (Vol. 3, Issue 2). http://scir.wum.edu.pk/index.php/ojs
Taufiq Akbar, A. ., Ratih Y.T., A. ., Murwiati, A. ., & Emalia, Z. . (2024). Analysis of the Determinants of Provincial Income Inequality in Indonesia. International Journal of Economics, Management and Accounting (IJEMA), 2(7), 175–188. https://doi.org/10.47353/ijema.v2i1.160
Tran, N. Q., Nguyen, T. M., & Pham, H. (2020). Inclusive labor market participation and inequality: Evidence from ASEAN countries. Journal of Asian Economics, 69, 101221. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2020.101221
Tridico, P. (2018). The determinants of income inequality in OECD countries. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 42(4), 1009–1042. https://doi.org/10.1093/cje/bex069
Wani, N. (2021). An Empirical Investigation of the Effects of Health and Education on Income Distribution and Poverty in SAARC Countries. Kardan Journal of Economics and Manangement Sciences. https://doi.org/10.31841/kjems.2021.97
World Bank. (2020). Indonesia Economic Prospects: The Long Road to Recovery. Washington, DC: World Bank. https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/indonesia/publication/indonesia-economic-prospects-december-2020
World Bank. (2023). World Development Report 2023: Jobs for Resilience. Washington, DC: World Bank. https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2023
Yunita, R., & Supriadi, P. (2023). Peran Pendekatan Human Capital dalam Manajemen Keuangan di Lembaga Pendidikan. Jurnal Pelita Nusantara, 1(2), 285–290. https://doi.org/10.59996/jurnalpelitanusantara.v1i2.232


